Friday, August 30, 2019

Friends Friday - Thanks

See updates below.

I want to thank all my friends who have already mentioned "Stay Safe" and "Thinking about you".  It appears that the weather may get a bit nasty over the weekend. I have experienced much in the way of storms/hurricanes, having lived in Florida for over 40 years - Never a direct hit from a "Cat 4" storm (winds 130–156 mph).  

will be sheltering "in-place" because I do not live in an evacuation zone. My pre-Labor Day plans will be, putting up shutters and stocking supplies. My home was built in 2000 and constructed according to the Miami-Dade post Andrew building code so should be able to stand. Just how much damage is the unknown. Also the predicted 10"-15" of rain could be challenging. This has been a unusually wet summer and the ground is already saturated.   

The previous storms knocked out power for days and internet service as well. If there are lapses in my posting next week, that will be the reason. I will do my best.

For those weather nuts like myself here is a direct link to the models used by NHC and most local weather sources - Tropical Tidbits.  The GFS (American model) seems to be the model most often used although the GFS-Legacy (older) model deviates slightly. Many models are available there. South Florida Water Management also has a easy to read composite plot of many tracking models. 


Palm Beach Post - Sunday 10:00 AM:

An extremely dangerous Hurricane Dorian is now a Category 5 storm. It is about 220 miles east of West Palm Beach, and beginning its assault on the Bahamas.

UPDATE 9:30 a.m.: Hurricane Dorian has built to a Category 5 tropical cyclone - an elite and deadly force of nature that is now descending on the northern Bahamas.

As of a special 9:30 a.m. advisory from the National Hurricane Center, Dorian had sustained 175-mph winds with gusts as high as 200 mph. The threshold for a Cat 5 storm is 157 mph winds.

The storm, which has evaded forecasters’ best attempts to pin it down on an exact track and intensity, is about 25 miles east of Great Abaco Island and 210 miles east of West Palm Beach.


  1. Stay safe. I have many friends in the path of the storm and you are all in my prayers.

    1. Thank you Pat - The next few day are going to be interesting. Today, the proverbial "Quiet before the storm."

  2. As of this time, 20:23 hrs 31Aug2019 it appears you and 'the bullet' will avoid each other. OTOH, 'the bullet' is a' commin' toward ME! Eeeeeek! I hope it stays EAST....